Lala
CP012026 · 2026 · Aug 10, 2026 – Aug 28, 2026. 7324 stored fixes. Operational NHC b-deck and, when present, the public a-deck. The b-deck is revised after the season. HURDAT2 is the later final track and is not ingested yet.
Track and intensity
Miles are great-circle statute miles. Intensity error is the absolute difference in knots. The baseline is the NHC official forecast (OFCL). Model aids are the early-cycle trackers in the public a-deck: GFS (AVNO), GEFS mean (AEMN), Canadian GEM (CMC), UKMET (UKX), HAFS, HWRF, HMON, and NAVGEM when that storm’s file contains them. ECMWF and AIFS trackers were not in the public a-deck when this was checked, so they are absent rather than filled in.
| Source | Lead | Cases | Track | Track skill | Intensity | Intensity skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEFS mean | 24 h | 60 | 24 mi | +0.06 | 12 kt | -1.16 |
| GEFS mean | 48 h | 56 | 32 mi | +0.01 | 14 kt | -1.28 |
| GEFS mean | 72 h | 52 | 61 mi | -0.30 | 16 kt | -0.90 |
| GEFS mean | 120 h | 44 | 172 mi | -0.08 | 21 kt | -1.29 |
| GFS | 24 h | 60 | 29 mi | -0.16 | 9 kt | -0.63 |
| GFS | 48 h | 56 | 35 mi | -0.08 | 12 kt | -0.97 |
| GFS | 72 h | 52 | 59 mi | -0.26 | 13 kt | -0.51 |
| GFS | 120 h | 44 | 154 mi | +0.03 | 15 kt | -0.67 |
| Canadian GEM | 24 h | 30 | 32 mi | -0.20 | 20 kt | -2.34 |
| Canadian GEM | 48 h | 28 | 53 mi | -0.54 | 23 kt | -2.72 |
| Canadian GEM | 72 h | 26 | 92 mi | -0.89 | 25 kt | -1.92 |
| Canadian GEM | 120 h | 22 | 248 mi | -0.55 | 32 kt | -2.80 |
| HAFS-A | 24 h | 7 | 31 mi | -0.69 | 4 kt | -4.40 |
| HAFS-A | 48 h | 3 | 52 mi | +0.06 | 4 kt | -1.40 |
| HAFS-B | 24 h | 7 | 29 mi | -0.58 | 4 kt | -4.80 |
| HAFS-B | 48 h | 3 | 42 mi | +0.23 | 5 kt | -2.20 |
| HMON | 24 h | 3 | 31 mi | -0.57 | 3 kt | — |
| HMON | 48 h | 3 | 55 mi | -0.01 | 3 kt | -0.80 |
| HWRF | 24 h | 3 | 32 mi | -0.60 | 3 kt | — |
| HWRF | 48 h | 3 | 67 mi | -0.22 | 5 kt | -1.80 |
| NAVGEM | 24 h | 7 | 22 mi | -0.21 | 6 kt | -7.00 |
| NAVGEM | 48 h | 3 | 44 mi | +0.20 | 1 kt | +0.20 |
| NHC official | 24 h | 60 | 25 mi | — | 6 kt | — |
| NHC official | 48 h | 56 | 32 mi | — | 6 kt | — |
| NHC official | 72 h | 52 | 47 mi | — | 9 kt | — |
| NHC official | 120 h | 44 | 159 mi | — | 9 kt | — |
| UKMET | 24 h | 30 | 20 mi | +0.25 | 17 kt | -1.83 |
| UKMET | 48 h | 28 | 35 mi | -0.02 | 18 kt | -1.95 |
| UKMET | 72 h | 26 | 72 mi | -0.48 | 19 kt | -1.24 |
| UKMET | 120 h | 22 | 226 mi | -0.41 | 21 kt | -1.54 |
Landfall
Location error is statute miles. Timing error is hours. A landfall is scored only when an explicit landfall row is stored. This version does not infer one from the track crossing a coastline.
No explicit landfall is on file for this storm.
Local impact in a market
Rainfall, peak wind, and surge forecasts for a station’s own market belong here, including ranges. Station websites are not collected, so this card does not invent a local total.
No local-impact forecast is stored for this storm.