Forecast Scoreboard

Raw models

A numerical model is a forecast source, the same way a station is. It is ranked on the daily high, low, and precipitation at the same airports, against the same climate day, and against the National Weather Service forecast from the same issue. It does not enter the station matched-day set, so a model cannot block a station, and a station cannot block a model.

Whether a human forecast beat the raw model is a separate temperature comparison, shown on the station page. Deterministic precipitation is stored as 0% or 100% and is left out of that comparison.

ModelOperatorStatusLicense
Canadian GEM (GDPS) ECCC / MSC Public, not collected yet Open Government Licence — Canada
ECMWF AIFS ECMWF Public, not collected yet CC BY 4.0 and ECMWF terms of use
ECMWF IFS ECMWF Public, not collected yet CC BY 4.0 and ECMWF terms of use
GEML ECCC / MSC Public, not collected yet Open Government Licence — Canada
GFS NOAA / NCEP Collecting U.S. government work, public domain
Google WeatherNext / GraphCast output Google Not publicly available No anonymous operational feed
HRRR NOAA / NCEP Public, too short for days 1–5 U.S. government work, public domain
ICON Deutscher Wetterdienst Public, not collected yet DWD GeoNutzV (attribution)
NAM NOAA / NCEP Public, not collected yet U.S. government work, public domain
UKMET UK Met Office Not publicly available Not an anonymous public grid

How a grid becomes a daily forecast