Cristina
EP032026 · 2026 · Jun 6, 2026 – Jun 11, 2026. 2897 stored fixes. Operational NHC b-deck and, when present, the public a-deck. The b-deck is revised after the season. HURDAT2 is the later final track and is not ingested yet.
Track and intensity
Miles are great-circle statute miles. Intensity error is the absolute difference in knots. The baseline is the NHC official forecast (OFCL). Model aids are the early-cycle trackers in the public a-deck: GFS (AVNO), GEFS mean (AEMN), Canadian GEM (CMC), UKMET (UKX), HAFS, HWRF, HMON, and NAVGEM when that storm’s file contains them. ECMWF and AIFS trackers were not in the public a-deck when this was checked, so they are absent rather than filled in.
| Source | Lead | Cases | Track | Track skill | Intensity | Intensity skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEFS mean | 24 h | 7 | 52 mi | -0.62 | 4 kt | +0.38 |
| GEFS mean | 48 h | 3 | 72 mi | -0.17 | 7 kt | +0.43 |
| GFS | 24 h | 7 | 69 mi | -1.14 | 12 kt | -0.68 |
| GFS | 48 h | 3 | 127 mi | -1.05 | 26 kt | -1.26 |
| Canadian GEM | 24 h | 4 | 42 mi | -0.49 | 14 kt | -1.32 |
| Canadian GEM | 48 h | 1 | 112 mi | -1.90 | 7 kt | +0.53 |
| HAFS-A | 24 h | 7 | 87 mi | -1.70 | 8 kt | -0.06 |
| HAFS-A | 48 h | 3 | 181 mi | -1.92 | 5 kt | +0.54 |
| HAFS-B | 24 h | 7 | 98 mi | -2.04 | 7 kt | +0.00 |
| HAFS-B | 48 h | 3 | 205 mi | -2.32 | 9 kt | +0.23 |
| HMON | 24 h | 7 | 78 mi | -1.42 | 10 kt | -0.40 |
| HMON | 48 h | 1 | 15 mi | +0.80 | 11 kt | — |
| HWRF | 24 h | 7 | 58 mi | -0.81 | 6 kt | +0.10 |
| HWRF | 48 h | 3 | 133 mi | -1.16 | 8 kt | +0.29 |
| NAVGEM | 24 h | 4 | 248 mi | -5.38 | 13 kt | -1.60 |
| NAVGEM | 48 h | 2 | 286 mi | -4.06 | 10 kt | -0.40 |
| NHC official | 24 h | 7 | 32 mi | — | 7 kt | — |
| NHC official | 48 h | 3 | 62 mi | — | 12 kt | — |
| UKMET | 24 h | 4 | 57 mi | -1.05 | 13 kt | -1.12 |
| UKMET | 48 h | 2 | 50 mi | +0.12 | 10 kt | -0.33 |
Landfall
Location error is statute miles. Timing error is hours. A landfall is scored only when an explicit landfall row is stored. This version does not infer one from the track crossing a coastline.
No explicit landfall is on file for this storm.
Local impact in a market
Rainfall, peak wind, and surge forecasts for a station’s own market belong here, including ranges. Station websites are not collected, so this card does not invent a local total.
No local-impact forecast is stored for this storm.