Genevieve
EP072026 · 2026 · Jul 24, 2026 – Aug 6, 2026. 9076 stored fixes. Operational NHC b-deck and, when present, the public a-deck. The b-deck is revised after the season. HURDAT2 is the later final track and is not ingested yet.
Track and intensity
Miles are great-circle statute miles. Intensity error is the absolute difference in knots. The baseline is the NHC official forecast (OFCL). Model aids are the early-cycle trackers in the public a-deck: GFS (AVNO), GEFS mean (AEMN), Canadian GEM (CMC), UKMET (UKX), HAFS, HWRF, HMON, and NAVGEM when that storm’s file contains them. ECMWF and AIFS trackers were not in the public a-deck when this was checked, so they are absent rather than filled in.
| Source | Lead | Cases | Track | Track skill | Intensity | Intensity skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEFS mean | 24 h | 37 | 27 mi | -0.05 | 23 kt | -1.92 |
| GEFS mean | 48 h | 37 | 46 mi | -0.11 | 21 kt | -1.51 |
| GEFS mean | 72 h | 37 | 67 mi | -0.21 | 15 kt | -2.27 |
| GEFS mean | 120 h | 30 | 147 mi | -0.16 | 6 kt | -0.43 |
| GFS | 24 h | 37 | 29 mi | -0.15 | 15 kt | -0.96 |
| GFS | 48 h | 37 | 50 mi | -0.21 | 15 kt | -0.77 |
| GFS | 72 h | 37 | 78 mi | -0.41 | 10 kt | -1.14 |
| GFS | 120 h | 30 | 179 mi | -0.41 | 4 kt | +0.03 |
| Canadian GEM | 24 h | 19 | 32 mi | -0.30 | 31 kt | -2.69 |
| Canadian GEM | 48 h | 19 | 49 mi | -0.24 | 32 kt | -2.64 |
| Canadian GEM | 72 h | 19 | 68 mi | -0.27 | 26 kt | -4.11 |
| Canadian GEM | 120 h | 15 | 112 mi | +0.04 | 15 kt | -2.26 |
| HAFS-A | 24 h | 37 | 26 mi | -0.01 | 11 kt | -0.39 |
| HAFS-A | 48 h | 37 | 32 mi | +0.23 | 10 kt | -0.14 |
| HAFS-A | 72 h | 37 | 70 mi | -0.27 | 9 kt | -0.94 |
| HAFS-A | 120 h | 30 | 174 mi | -0.38 | 5 kt | -0.35 |
| HAFS-B | 24 h | 37 | 29 mi | -0.12 | 10 kt | -0.36 |
| HAFS-B | 48 h | 37 | 35 mi | +0.14 | 10 kt | -0.23 |
| HAFS-B | 72 h | 37 | 68 mi | -0.23 | 8 kt | -0.63 |
| HAFS-B | 120 h | 30 | 155 mi | -0.22 | 4 kt | -0.12 |
| HMON | 24 h | 37 | 25 mi | +0.03 | 8 kt | -0.09 |
| HMON | 48 h | 37 | 47 mi | -0.14 | 11 kt | -0.34 |
| HMON | 72 h | 37 | 67 mi | -0.22 | 7 kt | -0.42 |
| HMON | 120 h | 30 | 167 mi | -0.32 | 6 kt | -0.52 |
| HWRF | 24 h | 37 | 27 mi | -0.07 | 12 kt | -0.55 |
| HWRF | 48 h | 37 | 42 mi | -0.02 | 11 kt | -0.29 |
| HWRF | 72 h | 37 | 64 mi | -0.16 | 8 kt | -0.73 |
| HWRF | 120 h | 30 | 135 mi | -0.06 | 6 kt | -0.38 |
| NAVGEM | 24 h | 35 | 64 mi | -1.48 | 23 kt | -1.94 |
| NAVGEM | 48 h | 35 | 112 mi | -1.65 | 14 kt | -0.89 |
| NAVGEM | 72 h | 34 | 149 mi | -1.64 | 9 kt | -1.42 |
| NAVGEM | 120 h | 28 | 193 mi | -0.45 | 11 kt | -2.17 |
| NHC official | 24 h | 38 | 25 mi | — | 8 kt | — |
| NHC official | 48 h | 38 | 40 mi | — | 8 kt | — |
| NHC official | 72 h | 38 | 56 mi | — | 5 kt | — |
| NHC official | 120 h | 30 | 127 mi | — | 4 kt | — |
| UKMET | 24 h | 19 | 40 mi | -0.62 | 26 kt | -2.06 |
| UKMET | 48 h | 19 | 65 mi | -0.64 | 26 kt | -2.02 |
| UKMET | 72 h | 19 | 91 mi | -0.68 | 22 kt | -3.42 |
| UKMET | 120 h | 15 | 111 mi | +0.05 | 10 kt | -1.21 |
Landfall
Location error is statute miles. Timing error is hours. A landfall is scored only when an explicit landfall row is stored. This version does not infer one from the track crossing a coastline.
No explicit landfall is on file for this storm.
Local impact in a market
Rainfall, peak wind, and surge forecasts for a station’s own market belong here, including ranges. Station websites are not collected, so this card does not invent a local total.
No local-impact forecast is stored for this storm.